* Corresponding Author
PERKIRAAN POLA MIGRASI ANTAR PROVINSI DI INDONESIA: PENDEKATAN DEMOGRAFI-EKONOMI
https://doi.org/10.22146/kawistara.15494 Albertus Girik Allo(1*)
(1)
(*) Corresponding Author
Abstract
The difference in the level of welfare among regions was an impeller factor for people to migrate. Data from the Population Census in 2010 showed that the province’s largest destination of migrants were West Java, DKI Jakarta and Banten. The purposes of this study is to observe how many the migrate response due to the differences in the level of welfare among the provinces in Indonesia, and to calculate the probability of migration for each province. The research method used in this study is Demographic-Economic Approach (Issermen et al, 1985), and then modified with using limited data in Indonesia. Economic variables used in this study are Ratio of Minimum Provincial Wage/ Decent Living Needs (UMP/KHL), Gini Index, and Gross Regional Domestic Product (PDRB) per capita. The results show that economic attractiveness value for variable of UMP/KHL ratio which is 0.2501 (significant), variable of Gini index is -0.0730 (insignificant), and PDRB per capita is 0.2742 (significant). The tendency of migrations among the provinces in Indonesia is still dominated by the migrants from Java and Bali Islands. The other result shows that people in DI Yogyakarta Province have a tendency not to perform migration.
Keywords
References
Adams, Jr. R.H dan J. Page. 2005. “Do International Migration and Remittances Reduce Poverty in Developing Countries?”. World Development, 33 (10): 1645-1669.
Adema, W dan M. Ladaique. 2009. How Expensive is the Welfare State? Gross and Net Indicators in the OECD Social Expenditure Database (SOCX). OECD Social, Employment and Migration Working Paper No. 92.
Badan Pusat Statistik (BPS). 2014. Data Migrasi, Ketenagakerjaan, Upah Minimum Provinsi, Gini Indeks, dan PDRB per kapita. http://www.bps.go.id. 23 Juli 2014 (08:45).
BNP2TKI, 2013. Data Penempatan Tenaga Kerja Indonesia (TKI). Badan Nasional Penempatan dan Perlindungan Tenaga Kerja Indonesia, Jakarta.
Darmawan, B dan Chotib. 2007. Perkiraan Pola Migrasi Antarprovinsi di Indonesia Berdasarkan “Indeks Ketertarikan Ekonomi”. Pararel Session IIIC: Poverty, Population and Health, Wisma Makara,Kampus UI-Depok, 13 Desember.
Deshingkar, P. 2006. Internal Migration,Poverty and Development in Asia: Including the Excluded through Partnerships and Improved Governance.Dipresentasikan di International Conference “Asia 2015: Ending Poverty?”, Manila, 18-20 October.
Devlin, C., O. Bolt, D. Patel, D. Harding dan I.Hussain. 2014. Impacts of Migration on UK Native Employment: An AnalyticalReview of the Evidence. Department for Bussiness Innovation and Skills, Occasional Paper 109. United Kingdom.
Easterly, W., J. Ritzen, dan M. Woolcock.2006. “Social Cohesion, Institutions,and Growth”. Economics and Politics,18(2): 103-120.
Gastwirth, J., Modarres, R., dan Bura, E.2005. “The Use of the Lorenz Curve,Gini Index and Related Measures of Relative Inequality and Uniformity in Securities Law”. International Journal of Statistics, 63(3): 451-469.
Giulietti, C. 2014. “Is the Minimum Wage a Pull Factor for Immigrants?”.Industrial and Labor Relations Review,67: 649-674.
Giulietti, C., M. Guzi, M. Kahanec, dan K.F.Zimmermann. 2013. “Unemployment Benefits and Immigration: Evidence from the EU”. International Journal of Manpower, 34(1): 24-38.
Handiyatmo, D. 2011. Migrasi Internal Penduduk Indonesia: Hasil Sensus Penduduk 2010. Subdirektorat Statistik Demografi, Badan Pusat Statistik,Jakarta.
Hariadi, P., Arintoko, dan Bawono, I.R. 2008.“Ketimpangan Distribusi Pendapatan di Kabupaten Bayumas Jawa Barat”. Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan,13(2): 61-70.
Heitmueller, A. 2005. “Unemployment Benefit, Risk Aversion, and Migration Incentives”. Journal of Pupulation Economics, 18(1): 93-112.
Hugo, G. 2006. “Forced Migration in Indonesia: Historical Perspectives”.Asian and Pacific Migration Journal, 15(1): 53-92.
Hoang, L.V and M. Yabe. 2011. “The Change of Income Inequality Dimensions in Rural Vietnam: A Perspective From Agriculture Production”. China-USA Business Review, 10(12): 1347-1360.
ILO. 2012. Profil Pekerjaan yang Layak:Indoensia. International Labor Organization. Indonesia.
Isserman, A.M., D.A. Plane, P.A. Rogerson,dan P.M. Beaumont. 1985. “Forecasting Interstate Migration with Limited Data: A Demographic-Economic Approach”. Journal of the American Statistical Association,80(390): 277-285.
Kerr, S.P dan Kerr, W.R. 2011. “Economic Impacts of Immigration: A Survey”.Finnish Economic Paper, 24(1):1-32.
Liebig, T dan A. Sousa-Poza. 2004. “Migration,Self-Selection and Income Inequality: An International Analysis”.KYKLOS, 57(1): 125-146.
Lu, Y. 2010. “Rural-Urban Migration and Health: Evidence from Longitudinal Data in Indonesia”. Social Science and Medicine, 70(3): 412-419.
Lumpe, C. 2007. The Labor Market Impact of Immigration: Theory and Evidence.Discursion Paper, No. 3468269275,Centre for European Economic Research, Germany.
Martin, P dan G. Zurcher. 2008. “Managing Migration: The Global Challenge”.Population Bulletin, 63(1): 1-20.
] Mayda, A.M. 2010. “International Migration:A Panel Data Analysis of the Determinants Bilateral Flows”.Journal of Population Economics, 23(4):1249-1274.
Molloy, R., Smith, C.L. dan Wozniak, A. 2011. “Internal Migration in the United States”. Journal of Economic Perspectives, 25(3): 173-196.
OECD. 2004. Trends in International Migration,Part II: Regional Asepct of Migration.OECD Publishing.
Primawati, A. 2011. “Remitan Sebagai Dampak Migrasi Pekerja ke Malaysia”. Jurnal Sosiokonsepsia, 16 (2): 209-221.
Purnomo, D. 2009. “Fenomena Migrasi Tenaga Kerja dan Perannya Bagi Pembangunan Daerah Asal: Studi Empiris di Kabupaten Wonogiri”.Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan, 10(1):84-102.
Saptanto, S., Lindawati, dan Zulham, A.2011. “Analsisi Pola Migrasi dan Konsumsi Rumah Tangga di Daerah Asal Migrasi terkait Kemiskinan dan Kerentanan Pangan (Studi Kasus Indramayu)”. Jurnal Organisasi dan Manajemen, 7(1): 21-37.
Sicular, T., Y. Ximing, B. Gustafsson, dan L.Shi. 2007. “The Urban-Rural Income Gap and Inequality in China”. Review of Income and Wealth, 53(1): 93-126.
Stark, O. 2006. “Inequality and Migration: A Behavioral Link”. Economics Letters,91(1): 146-152.
Sumanto, A. 2009. Identifikasi Faktor-faktor Sosial-Ekonomi Migrasi Tenaga Kerja (Kasus Ibu Rumah Tangga yang Bekerja dari Sektor Pertanian ke Sektor Non Pertanian). Jurnal Ekonomi dan Studi Pembangunan (JESP), 1(2): 74-80.
Tirtosudarmo, R. 2009. Mobility and Human Development in Indonesia. Human Development Research Paper 2009/19. United Nations Development Programme.
The Word Bank. 2009. Word Development Report 2009: Reshaping Economic Geography. The International Bank for Reconstruction and Development/The World Bank. Washington DC.
Vujicic, M., P. Zurn, K. Diallo, O. Adams and M.R.D. Poz. 2004. “The Role of Wages in the Migration of Health Care Professionals from Developing Countries”. Human Resources for Health, 2(3): 1-14.
Wajdi, M.N. 2010. Migrasi Antarpulau di Indonesia: Analisis Model Skedul Migrasi dan Model Gravitasi Hybrida.Tesis. Kajian Kependudukan dan Ketenagakerjaan Program Pascasarjana Universitas Indonesia. Jakarta.
Wahyuni, S dan Nuraini. 2013. Estimasi Parameter Demografi: Tren Fertilitas,Mortalitas,dan Migrasi (Hasil Sensus Penduduk 2010). Badan Pusat Statistik, Jakarta
DOI: https://doi.org/10.22146/kawistara.15494
Article Metrics
Abstract views : 4859
| 
views : 5422
| views : 5422
| views : 5422
Refbacks
- There are currently no refbacks.
Copyright (c) 2016 Albertus Girik Allo
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.
Jurnal Kawistara is published by the Graduate School, Universitas Gadjah Mada.